Will Arrival Vault (USA Stocks:ARVL) turn things around in October?

Arrival Vault (ARVL) has been making waves in the Auto Manufacturers industry, but its financial performance has been less than stellar. The company has a net income applicable to common shares of a loss of 1.1 billion, indicating a significant downturn in profitability. However, with an open price of $1.59 and a recent price change of $0.01, the stock shows potential for growth. Arrival Vault's enterprise value stands at a negative 110.7 million, which is concerning, but this could be seen as an opportunity for investors looking for a turnaround story. Despite the company's total risk alpha of -1.81, indicating a higher risk investment, the potential for significant returns may outweigh the risks for some investors. As we move into October, it will be interesting to see if Arrival Vault can reverse its fortunes.

Continual analysis of Arrival

Arrival Vault USA's stock is currently overvalued at $1.52 per share, given its modest future projections. The firm's market volatility, as indicated by a Beta of 3.6222, suggests a moderately high risk relative to the market. If the market rises, the company is projected to outperform it. Conversely, should the market experience negative returns, Arrival Vault is likely to underperform. Arrival Vault USA is expected to return -1.08%. It is essential to verify Arrival Vault USA's information ratio and skewness to determine if its past performance will recur in the near future. Please refer to the Arrival Vault USA dashboard, information ratio, and skewness links for more detailed information.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Arrival Vault (NASDAQ: ARVL), a player in the Consumer Cyclical sector and specifically in the Automobiles & Components industry, has been under the spotlight for its significant operating loss of 1.4 billion dollars. Despite this, the company has managed to decrease its net income loss to 904.2 million dollars, indicating a potential for a turnaround. As of the last update on September 3, 2023, the company's EBITDA stands at a loss of 281.8 million dollars, and its enterprise value is also in the negative at 110.7 million dollars. However, Arrival Vault's market capitalization stands at 29.3 million dollars, and Wall Street's target price for the stock is 1.5 dollars. With an overall analyst consensus of 'Hold', the question remains: Is Arrival Vault poised for a remarkable turnaround this October? The Book Value per Share of Arrival Vault is currently quite stable, showing little fluctuation compared to the previous year. The company's Book Value per Share is presently estimated at 87.70. The Tangible Assets Book Value per Share is projected to increase to 96.96 this year. However, the value of Earnings Before Tax is likely to decrease to -1.2 billion. As interest in the automobile sector grows, it's beneficial to delve deeper into Arrival Vault USA. So, what can Arrival Vault shareholders expect in October? In this article, I will also highlight some fundamental indicators that Arrival Vault investors should keep an eye on in October.
The performance of Arrival Vault USA in the marketplace will significantly impact your decision to invest in its stock. Revenue growth, profitability, competitive positioning, management quality, and industry trends can influence Arrival Vault's stock prices. When investing in Arrival Vault, there are several factors to consider and potential outcomes to expect. As a company performs well, its stock price may increase, allowing investors to benefit from price appreciation. However, Arrival Stock can experience significant price fluctuations due to market conditions, economic factors, industry trends, or company-specific news. This is why investing in stocks such as Arrival Vault carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Stock prices can decline, and investors may incur losses if they sell shares at a lower price than their initial investment.

How important is Arrival Vault's Liquidity

Arrival Vault financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Arrival Vault USA ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Arrival Vault financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Arrival Vault's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Arrival Vault's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Arrival Vault's total debt and its cash.

Another angle On Arrival Vault

Arrival Vault holds a total of eighteen million two hundred eighty-six thousand four hundred outstanding shares. Arrival Vault USA retains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investors. class="underlinedLink" href="/invest/ratio/ARVL/Shares-Owned-by-Institutions">institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Since such a large part of the company is owned by insiders, it is advisable to analyze if each of these insiders have been buying or selling the stock in recent months. Please note that no matter how much assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Ownership Breakdown

Retail Investors
36.57%
Insiders
44.86%
Institutions
18.57%
Retail Investors36.57
Insiders44.86
Institutions18.57
Arrival Vault (NASDAQ: ARVL), a prominent player in the Auto Manufacturers industry, has been under the spotlight recently due to its financial performance. Despite reporting a net income loss of $1.3 billion and an operating income loss of $1.4 billion, the company's strong current ratio of 7.53X and working capital of $826.61 million suggest a robust financial position.
The company's book value stands at 82.32, while its price to book ratio is a mere 0.16X, indicating that the stock may be undervalued. However, Arrival Vault's EBITDA of -$281.8 million and a negative return on assets of 0.14% raise concerns about its profitability. Interestingly, the company's shares are majorly held by insiders, accounting for 44.86% of the total, while institutions own 18.57%. With a total of 2.7K full-time employees, Arrival Vault seems to have a strong workforce to drive its operations. Despite the negative earnings per share of $6.49, the company's potential upside of 6.07 suggests that it could be poised for a turnaround. However, investors should be cautious as the company's Value at Risk stands at -9.73, indicating a high level of risk. In conclusion, while Arrival Vault's financials present a mixed picture, the company's strong liquidity position and potential upside could make it a candidate for a remarkable turnaround this October. .

Will Arrival pull back in October 2023?

Arrival's most recent market risk-adjusted performance indicator has decreased to -0.31, which could imply a potential price upswing in the future. However, investors should approach this with caution. A negative performance indicator can sometimes indicate a chance for a price increase, but it also signifies a higher risk level associated with the stock. Considering the current market conditions and the company's performance, it's feasible that Arrival might undergo a pullback in October 2023. Investors should closely monitor the stock and evaluate their risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. As of September 3rd, Arrival Vault displays a Mean Deviation of 3.79, a standard deviation of 5.17, and a Risk Adjusted Performance of -0.13. The technical analysis of Arrival Vault USA provides a methodology to utilize historical prices and volume patterns to predict a pattern that approximates the direction of the company's future prices. In other words, this information can be used to determine if the company will mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or if the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for thirteen technical drivers for Arrival Vault USA, which can be compared to its competitors. Please verify Arrival Vault USA's information ratio and skewness to decide if Arrival Vault USA is priced accurately, assuming the market reflects its regular price of $1.6 per share. Also, please recheck Arrival Vault USA's Jensen Alpha, which is currently at -1.44, to confirm the company's sustainability in the future.

Our Conclusion on Arrival Vault

Whereas many of the other players in the auto manufacturers industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Arrival Vault may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. With a relatively neutral outlook on the latest economy, it is better to hold off any trading of Arrival as the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Arrival Vault.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Arrival Vault USA. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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